OO 6433 · DFW → SAF

departs 8:42 AM CT · arrives 9:33 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↓ Arrivals into SAF at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

SAF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6433 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?