OO 6433 · SAF → DFW

departs 10:27 AM MT · arrives 1:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from SAF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.69 in

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6433 · SAF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?