Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6435 · PHX → SBP
departs 4:45 PM MT · arrives 6:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 20%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SBP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.