Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6435 · SBP → PHX
departs 7:02 PM PT · arrives 8:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.