OO 6442 · FSD → PHX

took off 8:10 AM CT · landed 8:41 AM MT (scheduled 8:15 AM CT → 9:30 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6442 · FSD → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?