Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6459 · PHX → STS
departs 1:35 PM MT · arrives 3:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STS
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.