OO 6466 · IDA → DFW

took off 6:37 AM MT · expected to land 10:22 AM CT (scheduled 7:00 AM MT → 11:00 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IDA

Weather at each end

IDA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6466 · IDA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?