OO 6481 · ORD → OKC

departs 4:41 PM CT · arrives 6:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.01 in

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6481 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?