OO 6486 · AEX → DFW

departs 5:18 PM CT · arrives 6:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AEX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6486 · AEX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?