OO 6513 · LAX → SAF

took off 2:23 PM PT · landed 5:08 PM MT (scheduled 3:00 PM PT → 6:10 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SAF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6513 · LAX → SAF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAF?