OO 704 · ORD → CVG

departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 4:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

CVG (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 704 · ORD → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?