OO 757 · ORD → MKE

departs 10:02 PM CT · arrives 10:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

MKE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 757 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?