Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2011 LANDED 6:52 AM PT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

QX 2011 · YVR → SEA

took off 6:19 AM PDT · landed 6:52 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2011 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time