QX 2117 · ICT → SEA

departs 3:06 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from ICT are often late

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.65 in

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2117 · ICT → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?