QX 2273 · SEA → RDM

departs 10:48 PM PT · arrives 12:00 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDM?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDM (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2273 · SEA → RDM

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDM?