UA 1007 · SAT → DEN

took off 1:26 PM CT · landed 2:08 PM MT (scheduled 1:39 PM CT → 2:55 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1007 · SAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?