UA 1083 · YVR → SFO

departs 7:13 PM PDT · arrives 9:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SFO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1083 · YVR → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?