Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1084 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

UA 1084 · IAH → OKC

departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 9:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1084 · IAH → OKC

Odds over time