UA 1130 · SAL → IAH

departs 3:35 PM CST · arrives 7:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1130 · SAL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?