UA 1183 · BOS → IAH

departs 3:54 PM ET · arrives 7:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1183 · BOS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?