Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1220 LANDED 4:16 PM MT, ~22 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

UA 1220 · EUG → DEN

took off 1:02 PM PT · landed 4:16 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at EUG that day

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1220 · EUG → DEN

Odds over time