Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1335 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

UA 1335 · ORD → BUF

took off 7:03 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:25 PM CT → 8:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

BUF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1335 · ORD → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?