Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1359 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

UA 1359 · CLE → IAH

took off 6:58 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:46 PM ET → 9:01 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1359 · CLE → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?