tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1407 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1407 · MCO → EWR

took off 7:37 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:13 PM ET → 9:48 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.