UA 1477 · LAX → IAH

took off 12:16 PM PT · landed 5:00 PM CT (scheduled 11:38 AM PT → 4:52 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1477 · LAX → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?