tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1485 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1485 · DEN → JAX

took off 4:26 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:07 PM MT → 9:40 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JAX?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.