tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1539 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1539 · EWR → LAS

took off 4:38 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:23 PM ET → 6:38 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.