Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1550 LANDED 8:41 AM PT, ~33 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

UA 1550 · DTW → SFO

took off 7:10 AM ET · landed 8:41 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

SFO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1550 · DTW → SFO

Odds over time