tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1626 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1626 · EWR → SAN

took off 5:04 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:48 PM ET → 7:55 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.