tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1641 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1641 · PDX → ORD

departs 10:46 AM PT · arrives 5:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.