Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1926 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1926 · EWR → SMF

took off 6:41 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:40 PM ET → 9:42 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.