Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2185 LANDED 3:16 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

UA 2185 · DEN → BTV

took off 10:04 AM MT · landed 3:16 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

BTV (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2185 · DEN → BTV

Odds over time