tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2209 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 2209 · IAD → LAS

took off 6:24 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:07 PM ET → 8:15 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.