UA 2270 · ORF → DEN

took off 8:10 AM ET · landed 9:44 AM MT (scheduled 8:00 AM ET → 10:00 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2270 · ORF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?