Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2273 LANDED 5:38 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

UA 2273 · DEN → MSY

took off 2:23 PM MT · landed 5:38 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MSY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2273 · DEN → MSY

Odds over time