UA 2387 · FLL → EWR

took off 10:14 AM ET · landed 12:44 PM ET (scheduled 10:02 AM ET → 1:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from FLL are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2387 · FLL → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?