tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2461 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 2461 · DFW → EWR

took off 5:43 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:58 PM CT → 9:34 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
68% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    30%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    22%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    23%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    15%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.