tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2486 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

UA 2486 · SAN → ORD

took off 5:10 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:41 PM PT → 10:59 PM CT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    55%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    19%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    19%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.