UA 2636 · CLE → MCO

took off 9:03 AM ET · landed 10:54 AM ET (scheduled 8:00 AM ET → 10:27 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

MCO (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2636 · CLE → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?