Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 264SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 264 · SEA → IAD
departs 11:20 PM PT · arrives 7:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±0 pts+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.