tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 574 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

UA 574 · SFO → PHX

took off 4:56 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:25 PM PT → 6:39 PM MT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.