Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 727 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

UA 727 · PTY → EWR

departs 10:10 AM EST · arrives 4:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

PTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 727 · PTY → EWR

Odds over time