UA 738 · DEN → COS

took off 11:56 AM MT · landed 12:19 PM MT (scheduled 11:40 AM MT → 12:23 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

COS (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 738 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late did it get to COS?