UA 761 · MUC → DEN

took off 4:49 PM CEST · landed 6:35 PM MT (scheduled 4:14 PM CEST → 6:50 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 761 · MUC → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?