tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 796 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

UA 796 · IAD → SFO

took off 4:29 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:20 PM ET → 7:15 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.