Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 842 LANDED 6:49 AM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

UA 842 · SYD → LAX

took off · landed 6:49 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 26h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SYD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 842 · SYD → LAX

Odds over time