Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1044 LANDED 9:23 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 1044 · BWI → PVD

took off 8:29 AM ET · landed 9:23 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ BWI is busy at that time

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into PVD at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1044 · BWI → PVD

Odds over time