WN 104 · MDW → MKE

departs 8:32 PM CT · arrives 9:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 8pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.47 in

MKE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 104 · MDW → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?