WN 10 · HOU → DAL

departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 9:40 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 10 · HOU → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?