WN 1109 · BZN → DEN

departs 8:27 AM MT · arrives 10:06 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1109 · BZN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?